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Buy your literature with confidence! Binding is tight and in excellent condition. Has pristine, unmarked pages. Has some wear and tear on the cover. Book in Good Condition. Former library book, has library markings. Buy your literature with confidence! Binding is tight and in excellent condition. Has pristine, unmarked pages. Has some wear and tear on the cover. Book in Good Condition. Former library book, has library markings. See less
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Know Your Chances: Understanding Health Statistics Paperback – Illustrated, November 30, 2008

4.5 4.5 out of 5 stars 33 ratings

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Every day we are bombarded by television ads, public service announcements, and media reports warning of dire risks to our health and offering solutions to help us lower those risks. But many of these messages are incomplete, misleading, or exaggerated, leaving the average person misinformed and confused. Know Your Chances is a lively, accessible, and carefully researched book that can help consumers sort through this daily barrage by teaching them how to interpret the numbers behind the messages. In clear and simple steps, the authors―all of them staff physicians at the Veterans Administration Medical Center in White River Junction, Vermont―take the mystery out of medical statistics. By learning to understand the medical statistics and knowing what questions to ask, readers will be able to see through the hype and find out what―if any―credible information remains. The book's easy-to-understand charts will help ordinary people put their health concerns into perspective.This short, reader-friendly volume will foster communication between patients and doctors and provide the basic critical-thinking skills necessary for navigating today's confusing health landscape.
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Editorial Reviews

From School Library Journal

"How to see through the hype in medical news, ads, and public service announcements" boasts the cover of this accessible and reader-friendly book by Dartmouth Medical School faculty and researchers Woloshin, Lisa M. Schwartz, M.D., and H. Gilbert Welch, M.D. (Should I Be Tested for Cancer?). Assaulted by incomplete, misleading, and overstated health messages by the media, health journals, and pharmaceutical companies, the general public is poorly prepared in how to read the information critically, how to assess credible evidence, and how to interpret statistics. The authors here set out to correct these shortcomings by explaining how to understand risk, judge the benefit of health interventions, and consider outcomes. The subject is complex, but the text is short and simple. Quick, useful quizzes complete coverage and verify that the reader has understood the material. "Learn More" boxes provide easy opportunities to investigate a subject in more detail. A "Quick Summary," glossary, and "Credible Sources of Health Statistics" section are helpful in presenting the basic skills necessary in navigating today's confusing health-media landscape. Recommended for all libraries.—James Swanton, Harlem Hosp. Lib., New York
Copyright © Reed Business Information, a division of Reed Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Review

“Short and simple. . . . . Present(s) the basic skills necessary in navigating today’s confusing health-media landscape. “ ― Library Journal Published On: 2008-08-26

“ Delightful and educational reading, simple enough for laypeople to understand yet academic enough to meet the needs of . . . . students.” -- L. Synovitz ―
Choice Published On: 2009-07-01

“Know Your Chances is an accessible and empowering text.” ―
Journal Of Biosocial Science Published On: 2011-02-07

“A great reminder that . . . medical claims should always be evaluated by how they affect you and your current state of health.” ―
Highlands Today Published On: 2008-12-20

“A great reminder that . . . medical claims should always be evaluated by how they affect you and your current state of health.” ―
Tampa Tribune Published On: 2008-12-20

“Read this book first and then think again.” ―
Time Magazine Published On: 2009-03-26

Product details

  • Publisher ‏ : ‎ University of California Press; First Edition (November 30, 2008)
  • Language ‏ : ‎ English
  • Paperback ‏ : ‎ 158 pages
  • ISBN-10 ‏ : ‎ 0520252225
  • ISBN-13 ‏ : ‎ 978-0520252226
  • Item Weight ‏ : ‎ 11.2 ounces
  • Dimensions ‏ : ‎ 7 x 0.5 x 9 inches
  • Customer Reviews:
    4.5 4.5 out of 5 stars 33 ratings

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Customer reviews

4.5 out of 5 stars
4.5 out of 5
33 global ratings

Top reviews from the United States

Reviewed in the United States on February 7, 2013
When you hear on the news that something will double your risk of getting some disease, do you ever wonder, "Double it from what to what?" It does make a difference. If it doubles the risk from one in a thousand to two in a thousand, you might think, "So what?" If it doubles it from one in three to two in three, you might have a different reaction. Or maybe you would be fatalistic and figure you'd probably get the disease, anyway. But either way, the numbers do matter, and you rarely get them. This outstanding book explains why you need those numbers and why the health statistics provided in advertisements and press releases are generally misleading. The authors explain how it is possible for BOTH survival rates AND death rates for a given illness to go up at the same time. They also discuss why some studies should be viewed with suspicion, what questions patients need to ask before choosing a treatment, and the difference between surrogate outcomes, which simply deal with numbers like cholesterol levels, and patient outcomes, which deal with how a person actually feels. The book is written in a simple, straightforward style that can be easily understood by readers without medical degrees, and its 142-page length will not overwhelm anyone. I can't think of anyone who would not benefit from reading this book. It won't take much time, and unlike some medical books, it's enjoyable as well as important. This one should not be missed.
4 people found this helpful
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Reviewed in the United States on February 2, 2016
I bought this book to help me understand the statistics that I'm constantly seeing in CDC, WHO and FDA public announcements. This important to know for my work as a journalist in reporting medical issues. But as I read over this book, which now has well-worn pages, I've been thinking that the general public needs to read this book too. For example, at the very beginning of the book, the three authors--who are also medical doctors--explain in lay language what "risk" is, what "outcome" really means when you see it, and why it's important to understand the real numbers behind the "statistics" that various organizations throw at you. In the writers' words, "the health messages you encounter every day in the media are often misleading and overstated." And that is so true I just want to shout it. But I also want to shout that even though it's the media that get blamed for being misleading, the real truth is that more often, it's the SOURCE of the information that has been fed to the media that is skewing the presentation of the statistics. In other words, yes, it's true: the sources--be it a drug manufacturer, a lobby firm or the CDC, WHO, FDA and whoever that is releasing the numbers-- will overstate, understate or downright deliberately cloud the numbers. For that reason, I can't thank these authors enough for writing this book.
5 people found this helpful
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Reviewed in the United States on December 29, 2012
I lecture to doctor colleagues on some of the topics in this book and they often need reminding of the concepts. Yet the book is appropriate for almost any audience, assuming ten years or so of decent education. I recommend this book for the 99+% of people who don't know this material but have to deal with stuff in these contexts all the time.

And docs ought to know all this stuff cold instead of having to be reminded of what it means day-to-day.
3 people found this helpful
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Reviewed in the United States on May 10, 2011
This book does a terrific job of helping us translate the mountain of healthcare claims we see and hear each day...on tv, in the hospital lobby, in the newspaper, and from researchers and volunteers...each with their own perspective. Do you have the tools to evaluate claims of drug or treatment efficacy/effectiveness? These claims are often confusing and misleading...leading to erroneous decisions and conclusions on our part. This short and simple discussion uses a variety of real-life examples to show how easily we can be mislead...or simply mislead ourselves by not reading or listening carefully. I have practiced pathology for 25 years and actively taught graduate medical studies addressing these types of problems...and I found the simple and straightforward discussions very, very helpful. You owe it to yourself to be an informed and active participant in your own care.
5 people found this helpful
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Reviewed in the United States on April 4, 2015
This book is for those who look for the footnotes when reading about healthcare claims, who question the facts behind today's barrage of health risk messages. 'Know Your Chances' gently guides you through the hype in medical news, TV drug ads and pitches from advocacy groups. Learn the critical-thinking skills to interpret the statistics behind messages that are often incomplete, misleading or exaggerated.

We recommend this book on our website, A-Fib.com, for those researching treatment options for Atrial Fibrillation. We also include it in our Amazon Listmania: Atrial Fibrillation: Recommended A-Fib Reference Books and Guides.

Patti Ryan
Editor and Publisher, A-Fib.com
One person found this helpful
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Reviewed in the United States on May 25, 2010
This book is okay as far as it goes, but it appears to have been written for high-school-age students or younger. There's no indication on the cover or in the introduction of its elementary approach.

I received an advance review copy of this book from the publisher.
4 people found this helpful
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Reviewed in the United States on February 19, 2010
This book is a real eye-opener. Now when I see commercials or read articles touting some new miracle drug that will "reduce your chance of getting _____ by 50%" I just laugh. I've given this book to my family doctor. Wonder if he'll read it? It's an amazing book and is very easy to understand.
2 people found this helpful
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Reviewed in the United States on June 17, 2010
This is the rare non-fiction book where more chapters might be desired. How would one evaluate a hospital? a specific physician? But the focus is narrowed to evaluating treatment claims,encouraging skepticism, looking at real effects rather than relative effects. It is a pleasure to finish a book wishing for a little more. The section on screening was particularly interesting, again, skepticism warranted. Maybe a sequel for statistical significance, clinical trials, demographics etc.
One person found this helpful
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Top reviews from other countries

MINDWELLER
5.0 out of 5 stars Continued excellence
Reviewed in the United Kingdom on August 18, 2017
Had it b4 and liked it and still go. Service fine
Terry Ames
4.0 out of 5 stars Four Stars
Reviewed in Canada on July 3, 2016
An interesting read.
One person found this helpful
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